week sequence – week 40. 2019

As I said on my first post, I do my own way to Larry Williams „Trading Day of  the Month” concept. And this is a weekly sequence coming from statistics reports I developed. We will see information for 39th week of the year, 30th September till 4th October 2019.

Ground rules for statistics

Sequence says if we have in next trading week one-way move on each market. I accept max one “correction” day with opposite direction. Statistic numbers claim an average strenght of sequence. I will push myself to publish each day statistics also on this blog for all of You.

Let me explain main ideas with reports:

  • I study statistics for two periods: maximum I had access to (on each market it’s different lenght) and on last 10-years period.
  • To count “strong intraday signal” I assume it has to be more than 70% for long period and minimum 80% for 10-year period.
  • Having minimum strenght on both long- and short-term period will become my “Trading Day of  the Month“.

End of Month and september issue

  • Long term statistics for american indices contains also September 2001. After 9/11 the NYSE was shut down for couple days. That’s why this week some days for S&P500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones IA will have lower, 18-years statistics only
  • Dollar index (DXY) will also have lower period on Friday – due to end of month.
  • And we have last day of September on Monday, so also statistic period will be lower.

New statistics

From Tuesday, 1st October, I will add new instruments to statistics: Nikkei 225 (Japan), Eurostoxx 50 (Europe) and Brent oil (Europe). Hope You can find them useful too!

Sequences

Let’s get to numbers and sequences for upcoming days:

  • DAX: long sequence (58,25%) from Tuesday for 24-years period, no sequence for 10-years period;
  • FTSE100: there is no sequences for 19-years or 10-years period;
  • WIG20: there is no sequences for 22-years or for 10-years period;
  • Eurostoxx 50: long sequence (65,75%) from Tuesday for 21-years period, no sequence for 10-years period;
  • Nikkei 225: no sequences for either 33-years period or 10-years period;
  • WTI: there is no sequences for 36-years or 10-years period;
  • Brent: no sequences either for 30-years or 10-years period;
  • gold: there is no sequences for 44-years period or 10-years period;
  • dollar indes (DXY): there is no sequences for 12-years period;
  • S&P500: there is long sequence (58,00%) from Tuesday for 19-years period, no sequence 10-years period;
  • NASDAQ: there is no sequences neither for 19-years or 10-years period;
  • Dow Jones: there is no sequences neither for 19-years or 10-years period;

Signals strenght

Germany DAX has sequence with average range of 245,65 points, no strong intraday statistics.

FTSE100 has no sequences, strong cumulated statistics is on monday with average range between 52 and 57 points, second strong cumulated signal is on Thursday with average range between 64 and 73 points, also strong signal for 10-years period on Friday with average range of 57,32 points.

WIG20 has sequence with average range of 82,89 points, no strong signals.

Eurostoxx 50 has long sequence with average range of 117,61 points, no strong intraday statistics.

Nikkei 225 has no sequences or strong intraday statistics.

Oil Brent has no sequence, strong intraday statistic on Friday with average range $1,58.

Oil WTI has no sequences or strong intraday statistics.

Gold has no sequences or strong intraday statistics.

Dollar index (DXY) has no sequences or strong intraday statistics.

S&P500 has sequence with average range of 43,65, strong signal will be on Thursday with average range of 14,99.

NASDAQ has no sequences, strong cumulated intraday statistics will be on Thursday with average range between 64 and 73 points and strond statistic on Friday for 10-years period with average range of 57,32 points.

Dow Jones Industrial Average has no sequences, strong signal will be on Thursday with average range of 128,9 points.

If You find this posts or intraday statistics useful – please share it with Your friends!

To deliver better service I will publish intraday statistics day before, between 6:30 and 7:00 pm GMT (1:30 and 2:00 pm EDT), so please, do enjoy them!

 

Phoenix

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