Hello,
In this post I will provide You a monthly statistics for some commodities. It can be useful for swing traders and to find a seasonality on commodities market.
I provide three type of data: for maximum-time period, for past 30 years and for past 10 years. It’s twelve commodities and if there is strong numers (above 70% for long-term and above 80% for 10-years period) I add also an average rang if there is a strong statistic.
- Brent crude oil:
30-year period: 57% short
10-year period: 70% short
- WTI crude oil:
36-year period: 50/50
30-year period: 57% short
10-year period: 70% short - Natural Gas:
43-year period: 67% long
30-year period: 53% long
10-year period: 60% short
- Gold:
48-year period: 56% long
30-year period: 50/50
10-year period: 70% short - Silver:
56-year period: 52% short
30-year period: 53% short
10-year period: 70% short
- Cotton:
60-year period: 50/50
30-year period: 60% short
10-year period: 70% short
- Orange Juice:
52-year period: 63% long
30-year period: 70% long – average range +6,75%
10-year period: 60% long
- Cocoa:
60-year period: 57% short
30-year period: 57% short
10-year period: 60% short - Sugar:
118-year period: 57% long
30-year period: 57% long
10-year period: 70% short
- Coffee:
47-year period: 53% short
30-year period: 63% short
10-year period: 80% short – average range -6,83%
- Wheat:
60-year period: 60% short
30-year period: 60% short
10-year period: 70% long - Soybean:
60-year period: 53% long
30-year period: 50/50
10-year period: 70% short
- Corn:
118-year period: 55% long
30-year period: 60% short
10-year period: 70% long