You probably wonder if this statistics that I publish really works? Is it worth your time and money? Well, let me answer this right now by looking back to may 2019, to all eight markets that I developed.
Which statistics matter for me?
That’s the main question. So the answer is simple and just in three points.I need a strong signal, which for me means:
- minimum 70% for long period (12+ years);
- minimum 80% for 10-years period;
- cumulation is when there is strong signal for long-time period and 10-years period.
But remember – this is my idea to create whole investment strategy based on those statistics. You can always use this statistics as an extra supply for your own strategy!
So let’s check data right now. I use D1 (daily) time frame, opening position at first minut after market opening, closing in last minut before end of the day. I use time of real trading, so f.e. NYSE is Core Trading Session: 9:30 a.m. TO 4:00 p.m. ET. This data is for may 2019 only, based on D1 from MetaStock by Reuters.
S&P500 – one strong signal for 10-years period, score: +10 points (profit);
NASDAQ – two cumulation, one strong signal for 10-years period, score: -28 points (loss);
Dow Jones Industrial Average – threee strong signals for 10-years period, score: -202 points (loss);
dollar index (DXY) – one strong signal for 12-years period, score: +$205 (profit).
oil WTI – three strong signals for 10-years period, score: +$1,1 (profit);
gold – one strong signal for 10-years period, score: +$6,86 (profit).
DAX – one strong signal for 24-years period, four strong signals for 10-years period, score: +86 points (profit);
FTSE 100 – one cumulation, two strong signals for 19-years period, one strong signal for 10-years period, score: +54 points (profit).
As You can see, statistics is profitable on 6 from 8 markets!
Of course one month is little low trial time, but still it shows a bit. I can create the whole summary, cause on each of those instruments profit is in different “currency”. F.e. 200 points on DJIA is different than $200 on dollar index. With proper money managment you can find balance between those markets and then it would creat a profit for your whole account. Anyway, 75% efficiency is fine with me…
What do You think?